Legacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers : the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alps

2017
journal article
article
36
dc.abstract.enMountain forest areas are key for providing a wide range of ecosystem services and are hot spots for land use change processes, in particular, increase in forest cover at the expense of mountain pastures and meadows. Mountain forest systems in eastern and western Europe have likely similar future socio-economic situations but significantly different socio-economic history. Using a scenario-based land use modelling approach (Dyna-CLUE framework) we model three scenarios (trend, liberalisation and self-sufficiency) of future land use in the Polish Carpathians and the Swiss Alps, focussing on forest cover change. We find that forest cover increase can be expected to continue in European mountainous regions under all likely scenarios, limited only by relatively strict policy interventions. Biophysical factors, rather than socio-eco- nomic ones, are key for defining the suitability for, and therefore likely locations of future forest cover, but land use legacy plays a very important role in the spatial pat- terns of future forest cover, particularly in eastern Europe.pl
dc.affiliationWydział Geografii i Geologii : Instytut Geografii i Gospodarki Przestrzennejpl
dc.contributor.authorPrice, Bronwynpl
dc.contributor.authorKaim, Dominik - 160846 pl
dc.contributor.authorSzwagrzyk, Marcin - 123747 pl
dc.contributor.authorOstapowicz, Katarzyna - 161466 pl
dc.contributor.authorKolecka, Natalia - 160849 pl
dc.contributor.authorSchmatz, Dirk R.pl
dc.contributor.authorWypych, Agnieszka - 132804 pl
dc.contributor.authorKozak, Jacek - 129324 pl
dc.date.accessioned2017-11-13T08:01:31Z
dc.date.available2017-11-13T08:01:31Z
dc.date.issued2017pl
dc.date.openaccess0
dc.description.accesstimew momencie opublikowania
dc.description.additionalBibliogr. s. 2289-2291pl
dc.description.number8pl
dc.description.physical2279-2291pl
dc.description.versionostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volume17pl
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10113-016-1079-zpl
dc.identifier.eissn1436-378Xpl
dc.identifier.issn1436-3798pl
dc.identifier.urihttps://ruj.uj.edu.pl/xmlui/handle/item/46199
dc.languageengpl
dc.language.containerengpl
dc.rightsUdzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 3.0 Polska*
dc.rights.licenceCC-BY
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/pl/legalcode*
dc.share.typeinne
dc.subject.enforest cover changepl
dc.subject.enland use changepl
dc.subject.enfuture scenariospl
dc.subject.enthe Polish Carpathianspl
dc.subject.enthe Swiss Alpspl
dc.subtypeArticlepl
dc.titleLegacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers : the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alpspl
dc.title.journalRegional Environmental Changepl
dc.title.volumeCurrent practices and challenges for modelling past and future land use and land cover changes in mountainous regionspl
dc.typeJournalArticlepl
dspace.entity.typePublication
dc.abstract.enpl
Mountain forest areas are key for providing a wide range of ecosystem services and are hot spots for land use change processes, in particular, increase in forest cover at the expense of mountain pastures and meadows. Mountain forest systems in eastern and western Europe have likely similar future socio-economic situations but significantly different socio-economic history. Using a scenario-based land use modelling approach (Dyna-CLUE framework) we model three scenarios (trend, liberalisation and self-sufficiency) of future land use in the Polish Carpathians and the Swiss Alps, focussing on forest cover change. We find that forest cover increase can be expected to continue in European mountainous regions under all likely scenarios, limited only by relatively strict policy interventions. Biophysical factors, rather than socio-eco- nomic ones, are key for defining the suitability for, and therefore likely locations of future forest cover, but land use legacy plays a very important role in the spatial pat- terns of future forest cover, particularly in eastern Europe.
dc.affiliationpl
Wydział Geografii i Geologii : Instytut Geografii i Gospodarki Przestrzennej
dc.contributor.authorpl
Price, Bronwyn
dc.contributor.authorpl
Kaim, Dominik - 160846
dc.contributor.authorpl
Szwagrzyk, Marcin - 123747
dc.contributor.authorpl
Ostapowicz, Katarzyna - 161466
dc.contributor.authorpl
Kolecka, Natalia - 160849
dc.contributor.authorpl
Schmatz, Dirk R.
dc.contributor.authorpl
Wypych, Agnieszka - 132804
dc.contributor.authorpl
Kozak, Jacek - 129324
dc.date.accessioned
2017-11-13T08:01:31Z
dc.date.available
2017-11-13T08:01:31Z
dc.date.issuedpl
2017
dc.date.openaccess
0
dc.description.accesstime
w momencie opublikowania
dc.description.additionalpl
Bibliogr. s. 2289-2291
dc.description.numberpl
8
dc.description.physicalpl
2279-2291
dc.description.version
ostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volumepl
17
dc.identifier.doipl
10.1007/s10113-016-1079-z
dc.identifier.eissnpl
1436-378X
dc.identifier.issnpl
1436-3798
dc.identifier.uri
https://ruj.uj.edu.pl/xmlui/handle/item/46199
dc.languagepl
eng
dc.language.containerpl
eng
dc.rights*
Udzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 3.0 Polska
dc.rights.licence
CC-BY
dc.rights.uri*
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/pl/legalcode
dc.share.type
inne
dc.subject.enpl
forest cover change
dc.subject.enpl
land use change
dc.subject.enpl
future scenarios
dc.subject.enpl
the Polish Carpathians
dc.subject.enpl
the Swiss Alps
dc.subtypepl
Article
dc.titlepl
Legacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers : the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alps
dc.title.journalpl
Regional Environmental Change
dc.title.volumepl
Current practices and challenges for modelling past and future land use and land cover changes in mountainous regions
dc.typepl
JournalArticle
dspace.entity.type
Publication
Affiliations

* The migration of download and view statistics prior to the date of April 8, 2024 is in progress.

Views
1
Views per month
Views per city
Ashburn
1
Downloads
price_kaim_szwagrzyk_ostapowicz_kolecka_schmatz_wypych_kozak_legacies_socio-economic_and_biophysical_processes_and_drivers_2017.pdf
15