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Legacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers : the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alps
forest cover change
land use change
future scenarios
the Polish Carpathians
the Swiss Alps
Bibliogr. s. 2289-2291
Mountain forest areas are key for providing a wide range of ecosystem services and are hot spots for land use change processes, in particular, increase in forest cover at the expense of mountain pastures and meadows. Mountain forest systems in eastern and western Europe have likely similar future socio-economic situations but significantly different socio-economic history. Using a scenario-based land use modelling approach (Dyna-CLUE framework) we model three scenarios (trend, liberalisation and self-sufficiency) of future land use in the Polish Carpathians and the Swiss Alps, focussing on forest cover change. We find that forest cover increase can be expected to continue in European mountainous regions under all likely scenarios, limited only by relatively strict policy interventions. Biophysical factors, rather than socio-eco- nomic ones, are key for defining the suitability for, and therefore likely locations of future forest cover, but land use legacy plays a very important role in the spatial pat- terns of future forest cover, particularly in eastern Europe.
dc.abstract.en | Mountain forest areas are key for providing a wide range of ecosystem services and are hot spots for land use change processes, in particular, increase in forest cover at the expense of mountain pastures and meadows. Mountain forest systems in eastern and western Europe have likely similar future socio-economic situations but significantly different socio-economic history. Using a scenario-based land use modelling approach (Dyna-CLUE framework) we model three scenarios (trend, liberalisation and self-sufficiency) of future land use in the Polish Carpathians and the Swiss Alps, focussing on forest cover change. We find that forest cover increase can be expected to continue in European mountainous regions under all likely scenarios, limited only by relatively strict policy interventions. Biophysical factors, rather than socio-eco- nomic ones, are key for defining the suitability for, and therefore likely locations of future forest cover, but land use legacy plays a very important role in the spatial pat- terns of future forest cover, particularly in eastern Europe. | pl |
dc.affiliation | Wydział Geografii i Geologii : Instytut Geografii i Gospodarki Przestrzennej | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Price, Bronwyn | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Kaim, Dominik - 160846 | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Szwagrzyk, Marcin - 123747 | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Ostapowicz, Katarzyna - 161466 | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Kolecka, Natalia - 160849 | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Schmatz, Dirk R. | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Wypych, Agnieszka - 132804 | pl |
dc.contributor.author | Kozak, Jacek - 129324 | pl |
dc.date.accessioned | 2017-11-13T08:01:31Z | |
dc.date.available | 2017-11-13T08:01:31Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2017 | pl |
dc.date.openaccess | 0 | |
dc.description.accesstime | w momencie opublikowania | |
dc.description.additional | Bibliogr. s. 2289-2291 | pl |
dc.description.number | 8 | pl |
dc.description.physical | 2279-2291 | pl |
dc.description.version | ostateczna wersja wydawcy | |
dc.description.volume | 17 | pl |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s10113-016-1079-z | pl |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1436-378X | pl |
dc.identifier.issn | 1436-3798 | pl |
dc.identifier.uri | https://ruj.uj.edu.pl/xmlui/handle/item/46199 | |
dc.language | eng | pl |
dc.language.container | eng | pl |
dc.rights | Udzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 3.0 Polska | * |
dc.rights.licence | CC-BY | |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/pl/legalcode | * |
dc.share.type | inne | |
dc.subject.en | forest cover change | pl |
dc.subject.en | land use change | pl |
dc.subject.en | future scenarios | pl |
dc.subject.en | the Polish Carpathians | pl |
dc.subject.en | the Swiss Alps | pl |
dc.subtype | Article | pl |
dc.title | Legacies, socio-economic and biophysical processes and drivers : the case of future forest cover expansion in the Polish Carpathians and Swiss Alps | pl |
dc.title.journal | Regional Environmental Change | pl |
dc.title.volume | Current practices and challenges for modelling past and future land use and land cover changes in mountainous regions | pl |
dc.type | JournalArticle | pl |
dspace.entity.type | Publication |
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