Possible identification of precursor ELF signals on recent EQs that occurred close to the recording station

2024
journal article
article
dc.abstract.enThe Lithospheric–Atmospheric–Ionospheric Coupling (LAIC) mechanism stands as the leading model for the prediction of seismic activities. It consists of a cascade of physical processes that are initiated days before a major earthquake. The onset is marked by the discharge of ionized gases, such as radon, through subterranean fissures that develop in the lead-up to the quake. This discharge augments the ionization at the lower atmospheric layers, instigating disturbances that extend from the Earth’s surface to the lower ionosphere. A critical component of the LAIC sequence involves the distinctive perturbations of Extremely Low Electromagnetic Frequencies (ELF) within the Schumann Resonances (SR) spectrum of 2 to 50 Hz, detectable days ahead of the seismic event. Our study examines 10 earthquakes that transpired over a span of 3.5 months—averaging nearly three quakes monthly—which concurrently generated 45 discernible potential precursor seismic signals. Notably, each earthquake originated in Southern Greece, within a radius of 30 to 250 km from the observatory on Mount Parnon. Our research seeks to resolve two important issues. The first concerns the association between specific ELF signals and individual earthquakes—a question of significant importance in seismogenic regions like Greece, where earthquakes occur frequently. The second inquiry concerns the parameters that determine the detectability of an earthquake by a given station, including the requisite proximity and magnitude. Initial findings suggest that SR signals can be reliably linked to a particular earthquake if the observatory is situated within the earthquake’s preparatory zone. Conversely, outside this zone, the correlation becomes indeterminate. Additionally, we observe a differentiation in SR signals based on whether the earthquake took place over land or offshore. The latter category exhibits unique signal behaviors, potentially attributable to the water layers above the epicenter acting as a barrier to the ascending gases, thereby affecting the atmospheric–ionospheric ionization process.
dc.affiliationWydział Fizyki, Astronomii i Informatyki Stosowanej : Instytut – Obserwatorium Astronomiczne
dc.contributor.authorContopoulos, Ioannis
dc.contributor.authorMlynarczyk, Janusz
dc.contributor.authorKubisz, Jerzy - 129618
dc.contributor.authorTritakis, Vasilis
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-10T11:51:37Z
dc.date.available2024-12-10T11:51:37Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.date.openaccess0
dc.description.accesstimew momencie opublikowania
dc.description.number9
dc.description.versionostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volume15
dc.identifier.articleid1134
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/atmos15091134
dc.identifier.issn2073-4433
dc.identifier.urihttps://ruj.uj.edu.pl/handle/item/498184
dc.languageeng
dc.language.containereng
dc.rightsUdzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 4.0 Międzynarodowa
dc.rights.licenceCC-BY
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.pl
dc.share.typeotwarte czasopismo
dc.subject.enSchumann resonances
dc.subject.enseismicity
dc.subject.enLAIC
dc.subject.enelectro-seismology
dc.subtypeArticle
dc.titlePossible identification of precursor ELF signals on recent EQs that occurred close to the recording station
dc.title.journalAtmosphere
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublicationen
dc.abstract.en
The Lithospheric–Atmospheric–Ionospheric Coupling (LAIC) mechanism stands as the leading model for the prediction of seismic activities. It consists of a cascade of physical processes that are initiated days before a major earthquake. The onset is marked by the discharge of ionized gases, such as radon, through subterranean fissures that develop in the lead-up to the quake. This discharge augments the ionization at the lower atmospheric layers, instigating disturbances that extend from the Earth’s surface to the lower ionosphere. A critical component of the LAIC sequence involves the distinctive perturbations of Extremely Low Electromagnetic Frequencies (ELF) within the Schumann Resonances (SR) spectrum of 2 to 50 Hz, detectable days ahead of the seismic event. Our study examines 10 earthquakes that transpired over a span of 3.5 months—averaging nearly three quakes monthly—which concurrently generated 45 discernible potential precursor seismic signals. Notably, each earthquake originated in Southern Greece, within a radius of 30 to 250 km from the observatory on Mount Parnon. Our research seeks to resolve two important issues. The first concerns the association between specific ELF signals and individual earthquakes—a question of significant importance in seismogenic regions like Greece, where earthquakes occur frequently. The second inquiry concerns the parameters that determine the detectability of an earthquake by a given station, including the requisite proximity and magnitude. Initial findings suggest that SR signals can be reliably linked to a particular earthquake if the observatory is situated within the earthquake’s preparatory zone. Conversely, outside this zone, the correlation becomes indeterminate. Additionally, we observe a differentiation in SR signals based on whether the earthquake took place over land or offshore. The latter category exhibits unique signal behaviors, potentially attributable to the water layers above the epicenter acting as a barrier to the ascending gases, thereby affecting the atmospheric–ionospheric ionization process.
dc.affiliation
Wydział Fizyki, Astronomii i Informatyki Stosowanej : Instytut – Obserwatorium Astronomiczne
dc.contributor.author
Contopoulos, Ioannis
dc.contributor.author
Mlynarczyk, Janusz
dc.contributor.author
Kubisz, Jerzy - 129618
dc.contributor.author
Tritakis, Vasilis
dc.date.accessioned
2024-12-10T11:51:37Z
dc.date.available
2024-12-10T11:51:37Z
dc.date.issued
2024
dc.date.openaccess
0
dc.description.accesstime
w momencie opublikowania
dc.description.number
9
dc.description.version
ostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volume
15
dc.identifier.articleid
1134
dc.identifier.doi
10.3390/atmos15091134
dc.identifier.issn
2073-4433
dc.identifier.uri
https://ruj.uj.edu.pl/handle/item/498184
dc.language
eng
dc.language.container
eng
dc.rights
Udzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 4.0 Międzynarodowa
dc.rights.licence
CC-BY
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.pl
dc.share.type
otwarte czasopismo
dc.subject.en
Schumann resonances
dc.subject.en
seismicity
dc.subject.en
LAIC
dc.subject.en
electro-seismology
dc.subtype
Article
dc.title
Possible identification of precursor ELF signals on recent EQs that occurred close to the recording station
dc.title.journal
Atmosphere
dc.type
JournalArticle
dspace.entity.typeen
Publication
Affiliations

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