Location‐scale meta‐analysis and meta‐regression as a tool to capture large‐scale changes in biological and methodological heterogeneity : a spotlight on heteroscedasticity

2025
journal article
article
dc.abstract.enHeterogeneity is a defining feature of ecological and evolutionary meta-analyses. While conventional meta-analysis and meta-regression methods acknowledge heterogeneity in effect sizes, they typically assume this heterogeneity is constant across studies and levels of moderators (i.e., homoscedasticity). This assumption could mask potentially informative patterns in the data. Here, we introduce and develop a location-scale meta-analysis and meta-regression framework that models both the mean (location) and variance (scale) of effect sizes. Such a framework explicitly accommodates heteroscedasticity (differences in variance), thereby revealing when and why heterogeneity itself changes. This capability, we argue, is crucial for understanding responses to global environmental change, where complex, context-dependent processes may shape both the average magnitude and the variability of biological responses. For example, differences in study design, measurement protocols, environmental factors, or even evolutionary history can lead to systematic shifts in variance. By incorporating hierarchical (multilevel) structures and phylogenetic relationships, location-scale models can disentangle the contributions from different levels to both location and scale parts. We further attempt to extend the concepts of relative heterogeneity and publication bias into the scale part of meta-regression. With these methodological advances, we can identify patterns and processes that remain obscured under the constant variance assumption, thereby enhancing the biological interpretability and practical relevance of meta-analytic results. Notably, almost all published ecological and evolutionary meta-analytic data can be re-analysed using our proposed analytic framework to gain new insights. Altogether, location-scale meta-analysis and meta-regression provide a rich and holistic lens through which to view and interpret the intricate tapestry woven with ecological and evolutionary data. The proposed approach, thus, ultimately leads to more informed and context-specific conclusions about environmental changes and their impacts.
dc.affiliationWydział Biologii : Instytut Nauk o Środowisku
dc.contributor.authorNakagawa, Shinichi
dc.contributor.authorMizuno, Ayumi
dc.contributor.authorMorrison, Kyle
dc.contributor.authorRicolfi, Lorenzo
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, Coralie
dc.contributor.authorDrobniak, Szymon - 103910
dc.contributor.authorLagisz, Malgorzata
dc.contributor.authorYang, Yefeng
dc.date.accessioned2025-10-29T12:34:04Z
dc.date.available2025-10-29T12:34:04Z
dc.date.createdat2025-10-27T12:33:17Zen
dc.date.issued2025
dc.date.openaccess0
dc.description.accesstimew momencie opublikowania
dc.description.number5
dc.description.versionostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volume31
dc.identifier.articleide70204
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/gcb.70204
dc.identifier.eissn1365-2486
dc.identifier.issn1354-1013
dc.identifier.urihttps://ruj.uj.edu.pl/handle/item/564237
dc.languageeng
dc.language.containereng
dc.rightsDodaję tylko opis bibliograficzny
dc.rights.licenceCC-BY
dc.share.typeinne
dc.subject.enBayesian statistics
dc.subject.endouble‐hierarchical model
dc.subject.engeneralized linear mixed‐effects model
dc.subject.enmultilevel meta‐analysis
dc.subject.enphylogenetic meta‐analysis
dc.subtypeArticle
dc.titleLocation‐scale meta‐analysis and meta‐regression as a tool to capture large‐scale changes in biological and methodological heterogeneity : a spotlight on heteroscedasticity
dc.title.journalGlobal Change Biology
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublicationen
dc.abstract.en
Heterogeneity is a defining feature of ecological and evolutionary meta-analyses. While conventional meta-analysis and meta-regression methods acknowledge heterogeneity in effect sizes, they typically assume this heterogeneity is constant across studies and levels of moderators (i.e., homoscedasticity). This assumption could mask potentially informative patterns in the data. Here, we introduce and develop a location-scale meta-analysis and meta-regression framework that models both the mean (location) and variance (scale) of effect sizes. Such a framework explicitly accommodates heteroscedasticity (differences in variance), thereby revealing when and why heterogeneity itself changes. This capability, we argue, is crucial for understanding responses to global environmental change, where complex, context-dependent processes may shape both the average magnitude and the variability of biological responses. For example, differences in study design, measurement protocols, environmental factors, or even evolutionary history can lead to systematic shifts in variance. By incorporating hierarchical (multilevel) structures and phylogenetic relationships, location-scale models can disentangle the contributions from different levels to both location and scale parts. We further attempt to extend the concepts of relative heterogeneity and publication bias into the scale part of meta-regression. With these methodological advances, we can identify patterns and processes that remain obscured under the constant variance assumption, thereby enhancing the biological interpretability and practical relevance of meta-analytic results. Notably, almost all published ecological and evolutionary meta-analytic data can be re-analysed using our proposed analytic framework to gain new insights. Altogether, location-scale meta-analysis and meta-regression provide a rich and holistic lens through which to view and interpret the intricate tapestry woven with ecological and evolutionary data. The proposed approach, thus, ultimately leads to more informed and context-specific conclusions about environmental changes and their impacts.
dc.affiliation
Wydział Biologii : Instytut Nauk o Środowisku
dc.contributor.author
Nakagawa, Shinichi
dc.contributor.author
Mizuno, Ayumi
dc.contributor.author
Morrison, Kyle
dc.contributor.author
Ricolfi, Lorenzo
dc.contributor.author
Williams, Coralie
dc.contributor.author
Drobniak, Szymon - 103910
dc.contributor.author
Lagisz, Malgorzata
dc.contributor.author
Yang, Yefeng
dc.date.accessioned
2025-10-29T12:34:04Z
dc.date.available
2025-10-29T12:34:04Z
dc.date.createdaten
2025-10-27T12:33:17Z
dc.date.issued
2025
dc.date.openaccess
0
dc.description.accesstime
w momencie opublikowania
dc.description.number
5
dc.description.version
ostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volume
31
dc.identifier.articleid
e70204
dc.identifier.doi
10.1111/gcb.70204
dc.identifier.eissn
1365-2486
dc.identifier.issn
1354-1013
dc.identifier.uri
https://ruj.uj.edu.pl/handle/item/564237
dc.language
eng
dc.language.container
eng
dc.rights
Dodaję tylko opis bibliograficzny
dc.rights.licence
CC-BY
dc.share.type
inne
dc.subject.en
Bayesian statistics
dc.subject.en
double‐hierarchical model
dc.subject.en
generalized linear mixed‐effects model
dc.subject.en
multilevel meta‐analysis
dc.subject.en
phylogenetic meta‐analysis
dc.subtype
Article
dc.title
Location‐scale meta‐analysis and meta‐regression as a tool to capture large‐scale changes in biological and methodological heterogeneity : a spotlight on heteroscedasticity
dc.title.journal
Global Change Biology
dc.type
JournalArticle
dspace.entity.typeen
Publication
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