Mischaracterizing uncertainty in environmental-health sciences

2017
journal article
article
dc.abstract.enResearchers doing welfare-related science frequently mischaracterize either situations of decision-theoretic mathematical/scientific uncertainty (defined in terms of purely-subjective probabilities) as situations of risk (defined in terms of reliable, often frequency-based, probabilities), or situations of risk as those of uncertainty. The paper (1) outlines this epistemic/ethical problem; (2) surveys its often-deadly, welfare-related consequences in environmental-health sciences; and (3) uses recent research on diesel particulate matter to reveal 7 specific methodological ways that scientists may mischaracterize lethal risks instead as situations of uncertainty, mainly by using methods and assumptions with false-negative biases. The article (4) closes by outlining two normative strategies for curbing misrepresentations of risk and uncertainty, especially in welfare-affecting science.
dc.contributor.authorShrader-Frechette, Kristin
dc.date.accession2026-07-07
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T08:39:12Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T08:39:12Z
dc.date.createdat2026-07-07T08:39:12Zen
dc.date.issued2017
dc.date.openaccess0
dc.description.accesstimew momencie opublikowania
dc.description.number53
dc.description.physical96-124
dc.description.versionostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.identifier.doi10.13153/diam.53.0.1103
dc.identifier.issn1733-5566
dc.identifier.projectDRC AI
dc.identifier.urihttps://ruj.uj.edu.pl/handle/item/577563
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://diametros.uj.edu.pl/diametros/pl/article/view/1103
dc.languageeng
dc.language.containereng
dc.rightsUdzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 4.0 Międzynarodowa
dc.rights.licenceCC-BY
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.pl
dc.share.typeotwarte czasopismo
dc.source.integratorfalse
dc.subject.encarcinogen
dc.subject.endefault rule
dc.subject.endiesel exhaust
dc.subject.endiesel particulate matter
dc.subject.enfalse negative
dc.subject.enInteragency Review Group on Cancer (IARC)
dc.subject.enparticulate matter
dc.subject.enpollution
dc.subject.enspecial interests
dc.subject.enrisk
dc.subject.enuncertainty
dc.subtypeArticle
dc.titleMischaracterizing uncertainty in environmental-health sciences
dc.title.journalDiametros
dc.title.volumeEthics and uncertainty
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublicationen
dc.abstract.en
Researchers doing welfare-related science frequently mischaracterize either situations of decision-theoretic mathematical/scientific uncertainty (defined in terms of purely-subjective probabilities) as situations of risk (defined in terms of reliable, often frequency-based, probabilities), or situations of risk as those of uncertainty. The paper (1) outlines this epistemic/ethical problem; (2) surveys its often-deadly, welfare-related consequences in environmental-health sciences; and (3) uses recent research on diesel particulate matter to reveal 7 specific methodological ways that scientists may mischaracterize lethal risks instead as situations of uncertainty, mainly by using methods and assumptions with false-negative biases. The article (4) closes by outlining two normative strategies for curbing misrepresentations of risk and uncertainty, especially in welfare-affecting science.
dc.contributor.author
Shrader-Frechette, Kristin
dc.date.accession
2026-07-07
dc.date.accessioned
2026-07-07T08:39:12Z
dc.date.available
2026-07-07T08:39:12Z
dc.date.createdaten
2026-07-07T08:39:12Z
dc.date.issued
2017
dc.date.openaccess
0
dc.description.accesstime
w momencie opublikowania
dc.description.number
53
dc.description.physical
96-124
dc.description.version
ostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.identifier.doi
10.13153/diam.53.0.1103
dc.identifier.issn
1733-5566
dc.identifier.project
DRC AI
dc.identifier.uri
https://ruj.uj.edu.pl/handle/item/577563
dc.identifier.weblink
https://diametros.uj.edu.pl/diametros/pl/article/view/1103
dc.language
eng
dc.language.container
eng
dc.rights
Udzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa 4.0 Międzynarodowa
dc.rights.licence
CC-BY
dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.pl
dc.share.type
otwarte czasopismo
dc.source.integrator
false
dc.subject.en
carcinogen
dc.subject.en
default rule
dc.subject.en
diesel exhaust
dc.subject.en
diesel particulate matter
dc.subject.en
false negative
dc.subject.en
Interagency Review Group on Cancer (IARC)
dc.subject.en
particulate matter
dc.subject.en
pollution
dc.subject.en
special interests
dc.subject.en
risk
dc.subject.en
uncertainty
dc.subtype
Article
dc.title
Mischaracterizing uncertainty in environmental-health sciences
dc.title.journal
Diametros
dc.title.volume
Ethics and uncertainty
dc.type
JournalArticle
dspace.entity.typeen
Publication
Affiliations

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