Technological growth and unemployment : a global scenario analysis

2014
journal article
article
dc.abstract.enThe aim of this article is to explore the possible futures generated by the development of artificial intelligence. Our focus will be on the social consequences of automation and robotisation, with special attention being paid to the problem of unemployment. In spite of the fact that this investigation is mainly speculative in character, we will try to develop our analysis in a methodologically sound way. To start, we will make clear that the relation between technology and structural unemployment is still controversial. Therefore, the hypothetical character of this relation must be fully recognized. Secondly, as proper scenario analysis requires, we will not limit ourselves to predict a unique future, but we will extrapolate from present data at least four different possible developments: 1) unplanned end of work scenario; 2) planned end of robots scenario; 3) unplanned end of robots scenario, and 4) planned end of work scenario. Finally, we will relate the possible developments not just to observed trends but also to social and industrial policies presently at work in our society which may change the course of these trends.pl
dc.affiliationWydział Filozoficzny : Instytut Socjologiipl
dc.contributor.authorCampa, Riccardo - 127511 pl
dc.date.accession2015-10-25pl
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-10T09:41:01Z
dc.date.available2015-12-10T09:41:01Z
dc.date.issued2014pl
dc.date.openaccess6
dc.description.accesstimepo opublikowaniu
dc.description.number1pl
dc.description.physical86-103pl
dc.description.points4pl
dc.description.publication1,5pl
dc.description.versionostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volume24pl
dc.identifier.eissn1541-0099pl
dc.identifier.projectROD UJ / Ppl
dc.identifier.urihttp://ruj.uj.edu.pl/xmlui/handle/item/17999
dc.identifier.weblinkhttp://jetpress.org/v24/campa2.htmpl
dc.languageengpl
dc.language.containerengpl
dc.rightsUdzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa - Użycie niekomercyjne - Na tych samych warunkach 3.0 Polska*
dc.rights.licenceOTHER
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/pl/legalcode*
dc.share.typeinne
dc.subtypeArticlepl
dc.titleTechnological growth and unemployment : a global scenario analysispl
dc.title.journalJournal of Evolution and Technologypl
dc.title.volumeTechnological unemployment and the basic income guaranteepl
dc.typeJournalArticlepl
dspace.entity.typePublication
dc.abstract.enpl
The aim of this article is to explore the possible futures generated by the development of artificial intelligence. Our focus will be on the social consequences of automation and robotisation, with special attention being paid to the problem of unemployment. In spite of the fact that this investigation is mainly speculative in character, we will try to develop our analysis in a methodologically sound way. To start, we will make clear that the relation between technology and structural unemployment is still controversial. Therefore, the hypothetical character of this relation must be fully recognized. Secondly, as proper scenario analysis requires, we will not limit ourselves to predict a unique future, but we will extrapolate from present data at least four different possible developments: 1) unplanned end of work scenario; 2) planned end of robots scenario; 3) unplanned end of robots scenario, and 4) planned end of work scenario. Finally, we will relate the possible developments not just to observed trends but also to social and industrial policies presently at work in our society which may change the course of these trends.
dc.affiliationpl
Wydział Filozoficzny : Instytut Socjologii
dc.contributor.authorpl
Campa, Riccardo - 127511
dc.date.accessionpl
2015-10-25
dc.date.accessioned
2015-12-10T09:41:01Z
dc.date.available
2015-12-10T09:41:01Z
dc.date.issuedpl
2014
dc.date.openaccess
6
dc.description.accesstime
po opublikowaniu
dc.description.numberpl
1
dc.description.physicalpl
86-103
dc.description.pointspl
4
dc.description.publicationpl
1,5
dc.description.version
ostateczna wersja wydawcy
dc.description.volumepl
24
dc.identifier.eissnpl
1541-0099
dc.identifier.projectpl
ROD UJ / P
dc.identifier.uri
http://ruj.uj.edu.pl/xmlui/handle/item/17999
dc.identifier.weblinkpl
http://jetpress.org/v24/campa2.htm
dc.languagepl
eng
dc.language.containerpl
eng
dc.rights*
Udzielam licencji. Uznanie autorstwa - Użycie niekomercyjne - Na tych samych warunkach 3.0 Polska
dc.rights.licence
OTHER
dc.rights.uri*
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/pl/legalcode
dc.share.type
inne
dc.subtypepl
Article
dc.titlepl
Technological growth and unemployment : a global scenario analysis
dc.title.journalpl
Journal of Evolution and Technology
dc.title.volumepl
Technological unemployment and the basic income guarantee
dc.typepl
JournalArticle
dspace.entity.type
Publication
Affiliations

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